Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.032613 0.037944 0.043810 0.050733 0.058674 0.067488 0.078003
2025-09-28 0.024389 0.031279 0.039560 0.050210 0.063508 0.079524 0.100237
2025-10-05 0.020333 0.028353 0.038745 0.053117 0.072382 0.097210 0.131511
2025-10-12 0.017073 0.025640 0.037505 0.054986 0.079907 0.113946 0.163699
2025-10-19 0.013722 0.022068 0.034351 0.053524 0.082420 0.123997 0.187895
2025-10-26 0.011437 0.019575 0.032230 0.053037 0.085991 0.135646 0.215411
2025-11-02 0.009433 0.017119 0.029707 0.051427 0.087446 0.144073 0.238795
2025-11-09 0.007910 0.015167 0.027639 0.050147 0.089087 0.152738 0.263215
2025-11-16 0.006868 0.013858 0.026420 0.050045 0.092532 0.164484 0.293618
2025-11-23 0.005836 0.012379 0.024658 0.048694 0.093564 0.172176 0.317845
2025-11-30 0.005410 0.011993 0.024829 0.050852 0.101039 0.191603 0.364125
2025-12-07 0.004799 0.011123 0.023939 0.050852 0.104470 0.204106 0.399187
2025-12-14 0.004117 0.010001 0.022417 0.049463 0.105197 0.211956 0.426970
2025-12-21 0.003612 0.009180 0.021393 0.048942 0.107564 0.223121 0.462131
2025-12-28 0.003441 0.009097 0.021930 0.051775 0.117070 0.249007 0.528219
2026-01-04 0.003207 0.008823 0.022003 0.053598 0.124655 0.271798 0.590310
2026-01-11 0.002786 0.008004 0.020707 0.052170 0.125058 0.280003 0.623593
2026-01-18 0.002479 0.007421 0.019876 0.051693 0.127484 0.292605 0.667100
2026-01-25 0.002154 0.006725 0.018660 0.050122 0.127211 0.299376 0.698799
2026-02-01 0.001888 0.006141 0.017636 0.048872 0.127517 0.307393 0.733869
2026-02-08 0.001706 0.005767 0.017098 0.048773 0.130552 0.321747 0.784206
2026-02-15 0.001497 0.005267 0.016145 0.047454 0.130420 0.328826 0.818683
2026-02-22 0.001437 0.005224 0.016455 0.049560 0.139162 0.357407 0.905271